When Are The Feds Going To Cut Rates And By How Much?

We’ve all been anticipating the ripple effects of the Fed’s rate cuts, and the real estate market is buzzing with excitement for what lies ahead in 2024. The big question on everyone’s mind is not just when these rate cuts will happen, but by how much? Let’s delve into the projections and insights that are shaping the mortgage landscape.

At the December meeting, the Fed projected a decline in the federal funds rate to 4.6% from the current target range of 5.25%-5.5%. Barry Habib and MBS highway, reliable sources for rate and market updates, suggest that by March, and particularly by May, we could be approaching the coveted 2% inflation rate, paving the way for the anticipated Fed rate cuts.

In the world of finance, much like in Fantasy Football, there are odds makers. As we step into January, there’s a 7% chance, but the odds significantly rise by March 20th, making a rate cut seem almost certain by May. Some speculations even point to the possibility of three rate cuts by June 1st, indicating a potential trio of favorable adjustments by July.

A glance at the Fed Dot Plot, showcasing 19 dots, each representing a Fed member, reveals an interesting shift. While in 2023, all 19 members aimed for a Fed Funds rate of 5.5%, the plot for 2024, 2025, and 2026 suggests a prolonged period of low rates. This signals a more extended era of favorable rates in the coming years.

What does this mean for homeowners and prospective buyers? According to Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, “In 2024, we expect home sales and mortgage origination activity to begin a gradual recovery in the presence of a slow-growing economy.” This positive outlook is fueled by the decline in inflation and the Fed’s signaling of future rate cuts.

Duncan predicts mortgage rates to dip below 6% by the end of 2024, offering a boost to affordability. Homebuilders are expected to continue adding new supply, further aiding accessibility. The decline in mortgage rates is likely to drive refinancing volumes up, along with a potential uptick in purchase financing.

So, what’s your next move in this evolving mortgage landscape? Don’t hesitate to reach out. The opportunities are unfolding, and informed decisions today can pave the way for a brighter and more affordable tomorrow.

Here are some related links:

Get a FREE Copy of my Book – The Cash Out Refinance Book

https://freshhomeloan.com/the-cash-out-refinance-book-get-your-complimentary-copy/

Homebuyers, How to Win in a Challenging Housing Market

https://freshhomeloan.com/the-fresh-home-loan-home-buyers-concierge-program/

Accessory Dwelling Units in the Bay Area and How to Navigate Financing Options

https://freshhomeloan.com/unlocking-potential-the-rise-of-accessory-dwelling-units-in-the-bay-area-and-how-to-navigate-financing-options/

As an Independent Mortgage Broker, in the business for 20+ years, we have the experience, the options, and the wholesale rates to help you navigate through these tumultuous times. Feel free to contact Garrick Werdmuller and his team at:

You may also contact Garrick Werdmuller Directly:

Garrick Werdmuller

President CEO

Fresh Home Loan Inc

510.282.5456 call/text

NMLS 242952

www.FreshHomeLoan.com

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All loan approvals are conditional and not guaranteed and subject to lender review of all information. Loan is conditionally approved when lender has issued approval in writing, but until all conditions are met, loan cannot be funded. Specified rates and [products may not be available to all borrowers. Rates subject to change according to market conditions and agreed upon lock times set by borrower. Fresh Home Loan Inc. is an Equal Opportunity Mortgage Broker in California. This licensee is performing acts for which a real estate license is required. Fresh Home Loan, Inc. is licensed by the California Department of Real Estate #02137513 NMLS # 2124104

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Garrick Werdmuller

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From Garage to ADU: How a 203(k) Loan Helped One Family Maximize Their Space

By Garrick Werdmuller • June 18, 2025

🛠️ From Garage to ADU: How a 203(k) Loan Helped One Family Maximize Their Space 🛠️ Buy It and Fix It With One Loan: The FHA 203(k) Limited A few years ago, I helped a couple purchase their home with just 5% down. It was a great fit for them at the time — solid neighborhood, the space they needed, and a bonus: a detached garage with potential. Fast forward to today — their teenage son was getting older and needed his own space. Naturally, they started exploring how to turn that detached garage into an Accessory Dwelling Unit (ADU) so he could move in and have a bit more independence. They gave me a call, hoping to tap into their home’s equity with a line of credit. But after running the numbers, it became clear that a traditional HELOC wouldn’t provide enough funds to cover the full conversion. That’s when I brought up a lesser-known option: the FHA 203(k) Limited loan . The FHA 203(k) Limited program snapshot outlines a renovation loan product allowing borrowers to finance both the purchase and rehabilitation of a property with a single mortgage , specifically for non-structural repairs or improvements. Here's a summarized overview for reference or communication: 🏡 What Is It? The FHA 203(k) Limited is designed for: Homebuyers purchasing a fixer-upper Homeowners refinancing and remodeling Primary residences only You can finance both the home and non-structural renovations—like kitchens, bathrooms, floors, HVAC systems, roofs, appliances, and more—with a single mortgage . 💡 Why Use a 203(k) Limited? ✅ Finance up to $75,000 in repairs and upgrades ✅ Only 3.5% down payment ✅ One loan, one closing ✅ No 203(k) Consultant required ✅ Ideal for non-structural repairs and cosmetic improvements ✅ Perfect for first-time buyers and FHA borrowers 🛑 What You Can’t Do With It This is for light remodeling only. You can’t use this loan for: Structural changes or additions Foundation work Landscaping (except for erosion prevention) Pools, hot tubs, or other luxury features (Bummer ! I know! 😒) 🧾 Borrower Submission Checklist Here’s what we’ll need to get started on your FHA 203(k) Limited loan: ✅ Basic Docs Loan Application (apply online or schedule an appointment) Government-issued ID Most recent 30 days of paystubs Last 2 years of W-2s or tax returns (for self-employed borrowers) Most recent 2 months of bank statements ✅ Property & Repair Info Signed Purchase Contract (if purchasing) Contractor’s Written Proposal with: Itemized list of repairs Cost breakdown (labor + materials) Statement that work is non-structural W-9 form from contractor Contractor license & insurance (if required by local jurisdiction) ✅ Appraisal & Renovation Docs Appraisal supporting As-Is and After-Improved Value Permit list (if applicable) Final Work Plan (signed off before close) 💬 Final Thoughts The FHA 203(k) Limited can turn a fixer into your dream home—or give your current space the refresh it deserves. With just one loan , you get flexibility , affordability , and peace of mind . Have a property in mind? Let's talk! 👉 Schedule a Free Consultation https://freshhomeloan.com/schedule-a-meeting/ 🏡 #FHA203k #203KLoan #RenovationLoan #FixerUpper #HomeRemodel #MortgageSolutions #FirstTimeHomeBuyer #HomeLoanHelp #RealEstateTips #MortgageBrokerLife #CaliforniaHomes #BayAreaRealEstate #CentralValleyHomes #DreamHomeGoals

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Guía definitiva de préstamos ITIN – Tu paso hacia la compra de casa

By Smith Chung • June 18, 2025

¿Qué es un préstamo ITIN? Un préstamo ITIN es una hipoteca diseñada para personas que declaran impuestos usando un Número de Identificación de Contribuyente Individual (ITIN) en lugar de un número de Seguro Social (SSN). El ITIN lo otorga el IRS a quienes no son elegibles para un SSN pero aún así deben declarar impuestos en EE. UU. 💬 En resumen: ¿No tienes SSN? ¡No hay problema! Si has sido financieramente responsable y cuentas con documentación básica, ¡podrías calificar! 💪 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 ¿Quién se beneficia de un préstamo ITIN? Los préstamos ITIN están diseñados para quienes persiguen el sueño americano — incluso sin documentación tradicional. Podrías beneficiarte si: 🌎 Eres inmigrante viviendo en EE. UU. sin green card ni SSN 🧾 Declaras impuestos usando un ITIN 💼 Tienes ingresos estables (W-2, por cuenta propia o incluso en efectivo con comprobantes) 💳 Pagas renta y servicios a tiempo y puedes demostrarlo 💥 Hemos ayudado a familias que pensaban que comprar casa era imposible — ¡y cerraron en solo 30–45 días! 🛠️ ¿Cómo funcionan los préstamos ITIN? Los préstamos ITIN generalmente son financiados por prestamistas no tradicionales (non-QM) o bancos especializados que operan fuera de los lineamientos de Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac. Aquí te explicamos cómo funcionan: 💰 Tipos de préstamo: Tasa fija o ajustable Compra, refinanciamiento o retiro de efectivo Propiedad principal, segunda vivienda y algunas propiedades de inversión 💵 Pago inicial: Generalmente del 10 % al 20 % A menudo se permiten fondos de regalo 📊 Crédito: En algunos casos no se requiere puntaje FICO Se puede usar historial de renta, servicios públicos o incluso crédito internacional 📉 Tasas y plazos: Ligeramente más altas que las convencionales Disponibles con tasa fija a 30 años o ARM de 5/7/10 años 📄 Documentación que necesitarás Para obtener una precalificación, debes demostrar estabilidad, ingresos y solvencia. La mayoría de los prestamistas solicitarán: 🆔 ITIN válido y vigente 📑 2 años de declaraciones de impuestos 💼 Comprobante de ingresos (W-2s, 1099s, o P&L si trabajas por cuenta propia) 🏦 2–3 meses de estados de cuenta bancarios 🌐 Identificación válida (pasaporte, matrícula consular, etc.) 🏘️ Historial de renta (comprobante bancario o carta del arrendador) 💡 Consejo extra: ¡Algunos prestamistas incluso aceptan ingresos o activos del extranjero! 🚫 Conceptos erróneos comunes sobre los préstamos ITIN ❌ Mito 1 : Los préstamos ITIN son ilegales. ✅ Falso. Son 100 % legales y cumplen con las regulaciones federales. ❌ Mito 2 : No calificas si eres trabajador independiente o te pagan en efectivo. ✅ No es cierto. Con declaraciones de impuestos o registros bancarios, definitivamente puedes calificar. ❌ Mito 3 : Te van a estafar o cobrar de más. ✅ ¡No con nosotros! Buscamos la mejor opción para tu préstamo y te explicamos todo con claridad. 🌱 ¿Por qué los préstamos ITIN son importantes para nuestras comunidades? 🏘️ Ser dueño de una casa crea riqueza generacional, estabiliza vecindarios y eleva a las familias. Para muchos inmigrantes, los préstamos ITIN son un puente hacia un futuro mejor — y nos enorgullece ser parte de ese proceso. ❤️ 🧑‍💼 Cómo pueden ayudar los agentes de bienes raíces Agentes inmobiliarios — ¡no dejen pasar esta oportunidad! Los compradores con ITIN son leales, motivados y, en muchos casos, están bien establecidos en sus comunidades. Aquí algunas formas de atenderlos mejor: 🤝 Haz equipo con prestamistas que conozcan las reglas de ITIN • 📆 Establece tiempos y expectativas realistas • 💗 Lidera con empatía y orientación 📣 ¿Quieres destacar? Dirige tu marketing a clientes con ITIN — ¡nosotros te respaldamos! 💼 El enfoque de Fresh Home Loan hacia los préstamos ITIN En Fresh Home Loan Inc., trabajamos con prestamistas confiables para ofrecer soluciones hipotecarias ITIN rápidas, justas y transparentes. Ya sea tu primera casa o una inversión, estamos contigo en cada paso. ✅ 🚀 ¿Listo para comenzar? ¿Conoces a alguien que pueda beneficiarse de un préstamo ITIN? Hagamos realidad el sueño de ser dueño de una casa — de la forma correcta, con apoyo y claridad desde el primer día. 🏠✨ “Llama hoy mismo para empezar tu precalificación — en Fresh Home Loan hablamos tu idioma y creemos en tu futuro.”